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Wednesday, February 06, 2008 

Super Tuesday Special - Politics Plus - What The Primaries Told Us

Tom12-2007My final Guest Blogger today from the American political blogosphere is my good friend TomCat from Politics Plus. Tom's progressive background goes back decades - fighting the good fight!

Yesterday was a great day for Democrats who are true believers in either Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama.  The Clintonistas and Obamaphiles are shouting "WE WON!" with equal glee.  Obama won more states, but Clinton won more delegates.  In one state, Alabama, Obama won the popular vote, but Clinton got one more delegate, because delegates are apportioned by district.  I presume Obama's strength was more concentrated in fewer black dominated districts.  Overall, blacks tended to support Obama, whites were split, and both Latinos and Asians supported Clinton.  Clinton dominated among the the over fifty set, while the young supported Obama.  Obama did well among the well to do, while the poor supported Clinton.  Voters with limited education went for Clinton, but the educated favored Obama.  And even though the supporters of both were right to say "WE WON!", I was right too.  I said Clinton was ahead, but Obama was charging hard and predicted a dead heat.

John McCain did quite well, but not quite as well as expected.  Mike Huckabee did much better than expected, and may have positioned himself as the VP candidate.  The big loser was Mitt Romney and his traveling dog show.  Each delegate Romney has won has cost him over a million dollars.  Ron Paul probably tuned his tinfoil hat to learn that he is a legend in his own mind, but is now clearly not a factor.

The delegate counts, now two hours old, are still not complete from many of the states, but will be by the time I post my Weekly Primary Report on Sunday.  Here are your the stats:

 democrat-logo

The Democratic Side

Popular Vote

Clinton Obama
Alabama 42% 56%
Alaska 25% 75%
Arizona 51% 42%
Arkansas 69% 27%
California 52% 42%
Colorado 32% 67%
Connecticut 47% 51%
Delaware 43% 53%
Georgia 31% 67%
Idaho 17% 79%
Illinois 33% 65%
Kansas 16% 74%
Massachusetts 56% 41%
Minnesota 32% 67%
Missouri 48% 49%
Montana 3-Jun 3-Jun
New Jersey 54% 44%
New Mexico 48% 49%
New York 57% 40%
North Dakota 37% 31%
Oklahoma 55% 31%
Tennessee 54% 41%
Utah 39% 57%
West Virginia 13-May 13-May

Delegates

Clinton Obama
Alabama 21 20
Alaska 4 9
Arizona 26 21
Arkansas 23 6
California 42 23
Colorado 6 13
Connecticut 22 26
Delaware 6 9
Georgia 18 27
Idaho 3 15
Illinois 31 62
Kansas 9 23
Massachusetts 54 37
Minnesota 24 48
Missouri 30 30
Montana 3-Jun 3-Jun
New Jersey 51 37
New Mexico 12 13
New York 127 87
North Dakota 5 8
Oklahoma 21 14
Tennessee 34 21
Utah 9 14
West Virginia 13-May 13-May
Total 553 534

Delegate Totals

Dem Delegates
Pledged Super Total % Pledged % Super % Total
Clinton 632 193 825 50.24% 64.55% 52.99%
Obama 626 106 732 49.76% 35.45% 47.01%
Total 1258 299 1557

 

GOPMillionaire

 

The Republican Side

Popular Vote

 

Huckabee

McCain

Paul

Romney

Alabama

41%

37%

3%

18%

Alaska

22%

16%

16%

45%

Arizona

9%

48%

4%

34%

Arkansas

61%

20%

5%

13%

California

12%

42%

4%

33%

Colorado

13%

19%

8%

60%

Connecticut

7%

52%

4%

33%

Delaware

15%

45%

4%

33%

Georgia

34%

32%

3%

30%

Idaho

27-May

27-May

27-May

27-May

Illinois

17%

47%

5%

29%

Kansas

9-Feb

9-Feb

9-Feb

9-Feb

Massachusetts

4%

41%

3%

51%

Minnesota

20%

22%

15%

42%

Missouri

32%

33%

4%

29%

Montana

15%

22%

25%

38%

New Jersey

8%

55%

5%

28%

New Mexico

3-Jun

3-Jun

3-Jun

3-Jun

New York

11%

51%

7%

28%

North Dakota

20%

23%

21%

36%

Oklahoma

33%

37%

3%

25%

Tennessee

34%

32%

6%

24%

Utah

2%

5%

3%

90%

West Virginia

52%

1%

47%

0%

Delegates

Huckabee McCain Paul Romney
Alabama 14 13 0 0
Alaska 6 3 5 12
Arizona 0 50 0 0
Arkansas 25 0 0 0
California 0 56 0 3
Colorado 0 0 0 22
Connecticut 0 27 0 0
Delaware 0 18 0 0
Georgia 45 3 0 0
Idaho 27-May 27-May 27-May 27-May
Illinois 0 54 0 2
Kansas 9-Feb 9-Feb 9-Feb 9-Feb
Massachusetts 0 17 0 21
Minnesota 0 0 0 36
Missouri 0 58 0 0
Montana 0 0 0 25
New Jersey 0 52 0 0
New Mexico 3-Jun 21-Feb 0-Jan 0-Jan
New York 0 101 0 0
North Dakota 5 5 5 8
Oklahoma 6 32 0 0
Tennessee 21 14 0 9
Utah 0 0 0 36
West Virginia 18 0 0 0
Total 126 490 10 174

Delegate Totals

Rep Delegates
Pledged Uncom Total % Pledged % Uncom % Total
Huckabee 166 3 169 15.98% 10.34% 15.82%
McCain 598 17 615 57.56% 58.62% 57.58%
Paul 16 0 16 1.54% 0.00% 1.50%
Romney 259 9 268 24.93% 31.03% 25.09%
Total 1039 29 1068

Looking Forward

The Louisiana Primaries and  the Republican Kansas Caucus are on Saturday the 9th and the Democratic Maine Primary is on Sunday the 10th.  Next Tuesday, there are Primaries in DC, Maryland and Virginia.

Although McCain is the clear GOP frontrunner, don't be surprised of the Democratic nominee is not decided until the Convention.



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I looked on Google today to find comprehensive results from yesterday's vote. This tells it all. I am still leaning to Hillary.

Hey Dawg!! Sorry I didn't get by earlier to thank you for the kind words. Between the campaigns and GOP scandals I'm swamped these days.

Thanks Wanda. I try to cover all the primaries in this depth.

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